Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 5.025269 5.725392 6.497368 7.413293 8.472410 9.661013 11.099359
2025-03-23 4.207661 5.146564 6.264909 7.701271 9.505871 11.709353 14.621022
2025-03-30 3.630601 4.676856 5.995727 7.792470 10.195230 13.323761 17.748483
2025-04-06 3.174976 4.263111 5.698728 7.750400 10.638087 14.603348 20.539698
2025-04-13 2.813484 3.912877 5.420696 7.665860 10.968773 15.719330 23.196377
2025-04-20 2.618086 3.760082 5.383073 7.893199 11.741085 17.521259 27.059939
2025-04-27 2.438654 3.605005 5.316637 8.056572 12.417599 19.235555 30.991502
2025-05-04 2.317522 3.519950 5.338546 8.346059 13.307257 21.365932 35.862206
2025-05-11 2.100157 3.264008 5.070059 8.141289 13.366020 22.138611 38.512815
2025-05-18 1.932182 3.068948 4.876437 8.032843 13.563069 23.149326 41.693768
2025-05-25 1.788915 2.900044 4.707754 7.944899 13.777750 24.201288 45.070974
2025-06-01 1.653372 2.731636 4.523712 7.809128 13.886704 25.064084 48.185314
2025-06-08 1.521420 2.560318 4.323163 7.629964 13.906884 25.782197 51.154198
2025-06-15 1.481982 2.545165 4.391133 7.943289 14.882924 28.435624 58.467748
2025-06-22 1.412496 2.470603 4.346200 8.039683 15.446931 30.338914 64.465450
2025-06-29 1.329529 2.364691 4.234762 7.996406 15.725058 31.687293 69.430205
2025-07-06 1.248253 2.255350 4.107568 7.908959 15.900871 32.836454 74.102439
2025-07-13 1.214530 2.232202 4.140625 8.144215 16.775791 35.591243 82.987250
2025-07-20 1.174902 2.194449 4.141886 8.313289 17.525082 38.156203 91.816332
2025-07-27 1.152279 2.187771 4.203103 8.612904 18.594181 41.581721 103.390104
2025-08-03 1.076633 2.070496 4.033405 8.400966 18.480550 42.213143 107.733248
2025-08-10 1.017026 1.981307 3.914256 8.288732 18.585703 43.383138 113.723234
2025-08-17 0.963921 1.901693 3.808964 8.197719 18.731014 44.668672 120.247131